Gold Is Breaking Records. This Stock Hasn't Moved Yet.

With gold over $3,200, one near-term producer is still trading like a developer. But the mill is running, crews are working underground, and first production is months away.

PayPal, Bill Holdings Downgraded As Analyst 'Loses Confidence'

Anusuya Lahiri
April 17, 2025

On Thursday, Seaport Global analyst Jeff Cantwell downgraded two companies -- PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL) and Bill Holdings (NYSE:BILL) -- as he has lost confidence that either will eventually meet their previously stated guidance in this new paradigm.

PayPal went from Neutral to Sell and Bill went from Buy to Neutral.

What Happened: Cantwell adjusted his numbers and price targets lower across the board in Fintech ahead of earnings. This reflects how this new, emerging ‘tariff-heavy’ paradigm will eventually impact names under his coverage.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also signals that the Fed can’t help, at least not yet. Therefore, most of the adjustments to his numbers also hone in on the back half of fiscal 2025 and 2026.

While first-quarter results should be benign, Cantwell now expects consumer and business spending to eventually start to slow in response to the tariffs’ disruptive effect, likely by the summer months at the latest.

Also Read: PayPal Transaction Margins and Payment Volume Drive Growth, Eyes 2025 Growth With Strong TMD Ahead of Investor Day: Analyst

Why It Matters: The analyst predicts PayPal will struggle to meet its medium-term guidance at Investor Day. Cantwell projected fiscal 2025 revenue of $32.68 billion and EPS of $4.95.

For Bill, he noted the downside to its guide of 20% core revenue growth in fiscal 2026.

For both companies, his updated forecasts are now below consensus.

Regarding the stocks, Fintech has been selling off in recent weeks, and valuations again look fairly reasonable at 3.9 times NTM EV/Sales, 10.9 times EV/EBITDA, and 17.9 times EPS (all medians).

Given that first-quarter results generally reflect a positive fundamental backdrop for Fintech, Cantwell noted investors could see a near-term rebound (‘relief rally’). However, given his expectation for heightened stock volatility and downside risk to consensus EPS in the near term, he noted investors should be prudent/selective buyers.

For Bill, Cantwell projected fiscal 2025 revenue of $1.45 billion and EPS of $1.93.

Price Actions: PayPal stock is up by 0.85% at $60.76 at last check Thursday. Bill is down 1.88%.

Read Next:

  • Amex CEO Says Consumers Still Spending Freely: So Why Is the Stock Sliding?

Image: Shutterstock

Continue Reading...

Popular

Warren Buffett's Top Stock Picks Now Come With a 15% Income Bonus Through This Fund

A new ETF is offering investors the chance to follow in the footsteps of one of the world's most successful investors and earn income at the same time.

Musk's Ex-Wife Opens Up About Why Life With Elon Was So Difficult

Justine Wilson recently shed light on the complexities of their marriage and the challenges she faced being married to the Tesla CEO.

Trump's Crypto Blueprint Unveils This Infrastructure Powerhouse - Ad

One blockchain token sits at the heart of Washington's pro-crypto agenda. Institutions are loading up while it still trades at a discount. Here's how to get in for $3.

Canadians put off by Trump's bluster and border arrests are booking far fewer US visits

VANCOUVER, British Columbia (AP) — Diana and Rick Bellamy initially planned to take a Caribbean cruise out of Houston before heading to Laurel, Mississippi, to visit the home of one of their favorite HGTV shows, “Home Town.”

Jeff Sperbeck, former agent for John Elway, dies after injury at 62

LA QUINTA, Calif. (AP) — Jeff Sperbeck, a business partner and former agent for NFL Hall of Famer John Elway, died Wednesday after suffering an injury last weekend at a Southern California golf resort community. He was 62.

Nvidia Is About to Shock the World: July 23rd - Ad

Jeff Brown, the tech legend who picked shares of Nvidia in 2016 before they jumped by more than 22,000%, is warning everyone to... Mark this date on your calendar: July 23rd! That's when Nvidia could help send shares of this Elon Musk supplier skyrocketing higher.

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Skyrockets 2,094%: What Is Going On?

Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) has seen a massive spike in burn activity and on-chain growth, fueling speculation of a

Gold's Historic Surge Unlocking Value in These Mining Stocks

Surging gold prices have amplified the profitability of global gold mining companies. Here are some stocks to consider.

The Most Important "AI Stock" You've Never Heard Of - Ad

The AI revolution is moving faster than anyone expected. But what no one is talking about is the one company AI simply can't exist without. It may be the single most important AI investment, yet most people don't even know its name. For now. The moment Wall Street catches on, this $20 stock could explode.

Okta Stock Is Climbing After The Bell: Here's The News Bringing Buyers In

Okta shares are rising in extended trading Monday following an announcement that the company will be added to the S&P MidCap 400.

Mike Pence Says Trump Comeback 'Unrivaled' In Modern American History But Only Return To Values Of First Term Will Ensure President's Legacy

Mike Pence praised Trump's early second-term achievements but warned that abandoning conservative principles—especially on Ukraine and tariffs—could threaten both America's future and Trump's legacy.

The Cross-Chain Giant Set for 1,000%+ Gains - Ad

This multi-chain protocol's volume is exploding while its price is still under the radar. Institutions are moving in fast-get our urgent report before retail wakes up.

Take Investment Advice From Shaq — His Fortune Grew Thanks To Charles Barkley and Donuts

Former NBA player Shaquille O'Neal has seen a significant increase in his wealth, quadrupling his net worth through an investment strategy inspired by Amazon's CEO, Jeff Bezos.

A massive explosion and fire strikes Iranian port and injures at least 281 people

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — The number of injured from an explosion Saturday at a port in southern Iran jumped to 281, the state-run IRNA news agency reported.

Elon Musk Drops Stunning Bombshell? - Ad

Behind closed doors, Musk revealed a game-changing breakthrough technology that could shake the tech world & crush major companies. Why is no one talking about it? Luckily, we had a man on the inside - watch now to see the details & how to profit!

SoFi Stock Is Up 11% This Week: What's Going On?

Shares of SoFi Technologies have surged 11% since Monday's open. The company on Tuesday announced a strategic expansion into alternative investments.

Forget Dogecoin And Shiba Inu — Crypto Analyst Sees This Coin Surging 100%

A crypto analyst has forecasted a 100% increase for Pepe (CRYPTO: PEPE), a mid-cap competitor to Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) and Shiba Inu (CRYPTO:

Elon's Greatest Invention... Hidden in South Memphis? - Ad

Tech legend Jeff Brown recently traveled to the industrial zone of South Memphis to investigate what he believes will be Elon's greatest invention ever... Yes, even bigger than Tesla or SpaceX.

Odyssey Marine Exploration Stock Surges On Continued Momentum: What's Going On?

Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX) shares are trading higher Thursday, extending the momentum from a major intraday spike driven by reports of a forthcoming U.S. executive order favoring the deep-sea mining industry.

No.1 Opportunity for 2025 [Take Action Now!] - Ad

Starlink's potential IPO Could Be the Biggest in History--Silicon Valley insider James Altucher has uncovered a way to profit BEFORE the IPO--with as little as $50. Musk's $180B giant is set to launch--will you miss out? Claim your spot before it's too late.

What's Going On With VeriSign Shares Friday?

VeriSign reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings on Thursday after the market closed.

This CEO Says Tariff Uncertainty Is Actually Good for His Business

John Santora, the CEO of WeWork, has revealed that the current economic uncertainty due to tariffs is driving an increase in business for the coworking space company.

Brace Yourself for Jeff Bezos' "Amazon Helios" - Ad

Amazon delivers 20 million packages a day... powers some of the most popular websites... delivers medication to half of the U.S. population... and even produces award-winning films and TV shows. But a Wall Street legend -- twice featured on 60 Minutes -- predicts that "Amazon Helios" will be bigger than all of those... COMBINED.

Jeff Bezos Wants To Send You To Space After Katy Perry: Here's How Much A Reservation With Blue Origin Costs

Blue Origin is taking reservations for its next trips to space after sending pop star Katy Perry there. Here's how much a reservation costs.

World Economic Forum: "Arguably the Most Exciting Human Discovery Since Fire" - Ad

Sam Altman, Bill Gates, and Mark Zuckerberg are all investing vast sums of money into a radical technology. According to Bloomberg, this could become 10 times bigger than AI, quantum computing, electric vehicles, cryptocurrencies, and robotics combined. And one stock is at the center of it all.

Warren Buffett's Favorite 'Single Best Measure' For Equities Flashes Buying Signal As US Stocks Rebound

Warren Buffett's favored "Buffett Indicator" suggests U.S. equities may be undervalued, signaling a potential buy opportunity as stocks rebound.

Biggest Dividend Payout in U.S. History: $1 Trillion up for Grabs! - Ad

Trump just launched a $1 trillion National Investment Fund to replace income taxes and send direct payouts to Americans. You could claim up to $21,307--before the first public checks go out. This is historic. Act now to be first in line.

Book Review: Restauranteur Keith McNally opens up in candid memoir 'I Regret Almost Everything'

Keith McNally has been charming New York City diners since he opened his first restaurant, The Odeon, in 1980, helping transform a then-derelict TriBeCa into a hotspot for the “glitterati.”

Stocks Pause Gains As Treasury Yields Rise: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Wall Street kicked off the week with a cautious tone, as major stock indices hovered near the flatline by midday in New York. Investors digested fresh signs of inflationary pressure in the services sector, raising doubts about near-term rate cuts and weighing on risk appetite.

A New Gold Discovery in Red Lake? - Ad

Two new gold anomalies just lit up the maps. They sit right beside a restart-ready mine-and follow the exact fold pattern that's made Red Lake world famous.

Bitcoin Breaks $97,000: Could A 'Synthetic Halving' Power A Run To All-Time Highs?

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has broken the $97,000 level in Thursday trading, and commentators predict an even more explosive move to the upside may be brewing.

This Intercept Stopped the Gold Sector Cold - Ad

114.26 g/t over 10.6m. That's not a typo. And it wasn't deep exploration-it was in an active mining zone.

Is Norfolk Southern 'making it right' after Ohio derailment? New lawsuit adds to doubts

Norfolk Southern began making promises to East Palestine, Ohio, soon after its train in February 2023, saying it would after five tank cars of vinyl chloride were intentionally burned, sending up a huge black plume of smoke that spread more toxic chemicals over homes, schools and farms.

You Can Take a Stake in Elon's xAI Before June 1st... - Ad

Elon Musk's private AI firm xAI may have just leapfrogged ChatGPT and Google's Gemini--building what experts call the future of AI. For the first time, you can take a stake starting at $500.

OpenAI reverses course and says its nonprofit will continue to control its business

After months spent pursuing a plan to convert itself into a for-profit business, OpenAI is reversing course and said Monday its nonprofit will continue to control the company that makes ChatGPT and other artificial intelligence products.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright markethundred.com
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service